Great information from the Informationist. How soon is soon when it comes to the new feature? Also can you refer us to some good basic instruction about how the bond markets work?
Wondering in your opinion what has prevented a significant recession and/or credit event occurring yet and forcing this elusive "pivot"? Hard for me to imagine its really this much of a lag but surely defer to your expertise on this one...Can you perhaps give your difference in the odds of this "soft landing" narrative occurring presently versus 12 months ago?
Excellent write-up on the latest move by BoJ and its move to back off from YCC; I'm wondering what knock-off effect the change will have on the relationship between USD/JPY? Looking forward to your subsequent commentary on this issue, and wishing you continued success in your trading and writing endeavors.
Thanks for the article. If I were to summarize, investors were selling JGB's (due to low yields) to buy UST's (due to high yields). As a result, due to Japan wanting to avoid deflation, they sold their UST's to buy JGB's to keep yields low. Now that they've increased rates to 1%, and possibly signaling to the market they could go higher, would we expect investors to buy JGBs and Japan not selling as much UST, or even buying more USTs (if they allow markets to settle the JGB interest rate)?
and...my coffee for today is a Peru El Mirador from Felix Mundaca in Colasay, Cajamarca, lightly roasted by Wonderstate Coffee (Viroqua, WI). One of the best roasts I've ever had.
Great information from the Informationist. How soon is soon when it comes to the new feature? Also can you refer us to some good basic instruction about how the bond markets work?
Hi James,
Wondering in your opinion what has prevented a significant recession and/or credit event occurring yet and forcing this elusive "pivot"? Hard for me to imagine its really this much of a lag but surely defer to your expertise on this one...Can you perhaps give your difference in the odds of this "soft landing" narrative occurring presently versus 12 months ago?
Thanks,
Ryan
Really like the way James links to prior stories that help round out understanding of current story.
Excellent write-up on the latest move by BoJ and its move to back off from YCC; I'm wondering what knock-off effect the change will have on the relationship between USD/JPY? Looking forward to your subsequent commentary on this issue, and wishing you continued success in your trading and writing endeavors.
Thanks for the article. If I were to summarize, investors were selling JGB's (due to low yields) to buy UST's (due to high yields). As a result, due to Japan wanting to avoid deflation, they sold their UST's to buy JGB's to keep yields low. Now that they've increased rates to 1%, and possibly signaling to the market they could go higher, would we expect investors to buy JGBs and Japan not selling as much UST, or even buying more USTs (if they allow markets to settle the JGB interest rate)?
and...my coffee for today is a Peru El Mirador from Felix Mundaca in Colasay, Cajamarca, lightly roasted by Wonderstate Coffee (Viroqua, WI). One of the best roasts I've ever had.
Hey James.....good stuff, as usual!
Is my statement below, in my own words, correct?
The reason the BoF will let rates "drift" higher is to attract more investors, thereby reducing their own need(burden) to purchase bonds.
Thanks!
Thank you Johannes!