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💡 What is the Trump Trade?
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💡 What is the Trump Trade?

Issue 125

James Lavish, CFA's avatar
James Lavish, CFA
Jul 21, 2024
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💡 What is the Trump Trade?
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✌️ Welcome to the latest issue of The Informationist, the newsletter that makes you smarter in just a few minutes each week.

🙌 The Informationist takes one current event or complicated concept and simplifies it for you in bullet points and easy to understand text.

🫶 If this email was forwarded to you, then you have awesome friends, click below to join!

👉 And you can always check out the archives to read more of The Informationist.


Today’s Bullets:

  • The Big (macro) Picture

  • Drill Baby Drill (and more)

  • Bitcoin Boost?

  • Bottom Line


Inspirational Tweet:

The Trump Trade.

We’re starting to see this term everywhere, and markets seem to be reacting in real-time.

But why?

What exactly is this so-called "Trump Trade”? Is it real or just another load of political rhetoric and hot air that’s being blown around?

And more importantly, how can you take advantage of (or protect yourself from) it in your own portfolio?

If you’ve been wondering about this and it confuses you, no worries. Because we’re going to break it all down for you, nice and easy as always, today.

So, grab your favorite cup of coffee, and settle into a nice comfortable seat for a Sunday read with The Informationist.


🧐 The Big (macro) Picture

To understand the Trump Trade we must first understand what it is (and what it is not).

Sort out the signal from the noise, so to speak.

Put simply, the Trump Trade is the market anticipation of (how investors are positioning themselves) a Trump victory in November.

The Trump Trade assumes that Trump wins and inherits a Congress that he can work with to make substantial changes, quickly (this part is important).

Unless you’ve been completely unplugged from the news and social media this past month (not a bad summer policy, BTW), you’ve likely seen the drama on the largest political stage here in the US.

Rest assured, we’re not going to get into the details of the drama here, but we are going to point out a few important moments and developments from the last number of weeks.

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